Modeling the possibility of land use changes under the influence of natural factors based on an artificial model of multilayer perceptrons
Abstract and keywords
Abstract:
Artificial Neural Network (ANN) are advanced pattern recognition algorithms capable of extracting complex nonlinear relationships between variables. This paper presents the application of artificial neural networks, in particular the Multi-layer Perceptrons (MLP) neural networks from the Land Change Modeler (LCM) to model the potential for land use change under the influence of natural factors. A case study conducted in Giao Thuy district is used to illustrate this method. Land use data from 2001 to 2013 were decoded using Landsat satellite images. The data analysis process was carried out using TerrSet software to obtain a simple MLP neural network consisting of an input layer (3 neurons), a hidden layer (7 neurons), and an output layer (2 neurons). The results of the study show that the MLP network works with high reliability. The overall (with all variables) efficiency of 0.6858 and accuracy of 84.29 % of the model are well above the acceptable limit to be used for training. The results of the study show that the three factors influencing land use change can be ranked in order: soils, geomorphology and finally the distance to the coastline have the greatest influence.

Keywords:
land use change, multilayer perceptrons, artificial neural networks, Cramer’s V, backpropagation algorithm, natural factors
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